Previous Lecture
November 29
Insect Population Response to Selective Pesticides
and Vegetation
Dr. John E. Banks
Division of Environmental Sciences
University of Washington, Tacoma
Room: HA 366
Time: 12:45-1:45
Abstracts - Previous Talks
October 18
Physiologically Based Pharmacokinetic Modeling of
Benzene in Humans: A Bayesian Approach
Karen Yokley
|
Benzene is myelotoxic and causes leukemia in humans after
extended periods of high exposure; however, leukemia risks in humans at
low exposures are uncertain. Benzene occurs in the work
environment and in outdoor air, but mostly at concentrations below one
ppm. It is therefore important to assess the risk of benzene
exposure to humans at low concentrations. In this talk, we
developed a physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) model
for the uptake and elimination of benzene in humans to relate the
concentration of inhaled benzene to the tissue doses of benzene and its
key metabolites. To apply the mathematical model to data in
humans, the mathematical model must be integrated into a statistical
framework that acknowledges the sources of variation in the data due to
inherent intra- and inter-individual variation, measurement error, and
other data collection issues. The main contribution of this work
is the estimation of population distribution of key PBPK model
parameters using a fully parametric method. In particular, we
employ a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) technique to fit the
mathematical model to three sets of data producing samples from the
posterior distributions of the parameters, from which inference on the
parameters may be carried out. We hypothesized that variability
in metabolic parameters observed in earlier studies would be sufficient
to explain observed variability in benzene pharmacokinetics. The
resultant simulations captured some but not all of the observed
variability, indicating that one must also account for variability in
physiological parameters, such as organ weights, to faithfully predict
the full human population variability. (This research was
supported by the American Chemistry Council and CIIT.) |
September 13
Look at that thin film go! Wave structures
in thin film flow driven by gravity and surfactant
Rachel Levy
|
Thin liquid films are found in both industrial and biological settings. We consider a system of two partial differential equations (PDEs) that model a thin film flowing down a solid surface. One PDE describes the height of the film, the other describes the concentration of surfactant, a chemical that acts as a driving force on the surface of the film by affecting the surface tension. As the film flows down the surface, interesting wave structures develop. We explain the complicated structures with both analytical and numerical solutions of the PDEs. |